We went 2 for 3 in our first edition of +EV picks courtesy of OddsJam data. Let’s see if we can continue our run today with a glorious day baseball slate!
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To the picks!
Dylan Cease o7.5 K (+110 Fliff)
This play does not have super long odds, but it’s a plus odds play with other books posting minus odds. So even if books like FD and Caesars are favoring the under, they are allowing for the possibility of the over hitting by offering -108 & -113 odds.
Shane McClanahan (Caesars complete fade!)
Today seems to be the day to fade McClanahan on Caesars, as they are offering his o2.5 ER, u5.5 K and o5.5 hits allowed at ridiculous edges.
Orioles ML (+185 BetRivers)
This pick is purely based on profitable edge. When I see a 6.56% profitable edge on the no-vig odds, my eyes light up. The books are clearly favoring Texas today. But this is baseball we’re talking about, where a lead can evaporate with a bloop and a blast. I’ll take the upstart Orioles to win at +185 with this big edge, even against a much-improved Rangers squad.
Keller u4.5 K (+110 Fliff)
Lastly, let’s grab one more pitcher K prop with Mitch Keller u4.5 K. Books are talking out of both sides of their mouths by juicing the over, but also offering minus odds for the under. They aren’t super convinced he will get to 5 strikeouts. So let’s take the +110 odds on offer by Fliff and call their bluff.
AndyPicks 