Brewers @ Reds – 5/11

The Greatest American Ball Park… for hitting overs

We have a nice early pick today for the 12:35pm start time between Milwaukee and Cincinnati. The Reds bats have gotten hot as of late. They are scoring 5.1 runs per game over their last 10, and 7 runs per game over their last five. Mike Moustakas is back from the injured list and playing well (.488 OBP, 1 HR, 5 RBI last 14 days). Still no Joey Votto though, who has been out since May 3. The Brewers are starting Adrian Houser today who pitched against the Reds in Milwaukee last week and gave up 5 runs (4 earned) over 5 innings. Houser is also due for some regression. He has a .279 wOBA/.334 xwOBA and a 3.42 ERA/3.91 xERA. The Great American Ball Park will also feature good hitting conditions with only 4 MPH winds and an 83 degree temperature at first pitch. I like the Reds to hit the over on their team total runs.
My Pick: Cincinnati o3.5 runs -105

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